Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 83.819206 94.826045 107.267203 122.480718 140.732516 162.117287 189.354988
2025-04-20 69.995773 84.604727 102.703739 127.214648 160.251182 204.326774 269.562636
2025-04-27 63.594656 80.494622 102.845120 135.503003 183.713898 255.328703 376.419108
2025-05-04 56.344703 73.627133 97.556036 134.500469 192.906018 287.322370 465.741266
2025-05-11 51.478192 69.111267 94.506614 135.664843 204.907798 326.142720 582.030889
2025-05-18 46.875909 64.290935 90.173456 133.814541 211.159631 356.277610 695.044235
2025-05-25 43.808211 61.319796 88.145604 135.167465 222.981377 400.002822 861.240917
2025-06-01 40.825771 58.125508 85.311050 134.575229 230.894734 438.085633 1037.393897
2025-06-08 38.013008 54.904282 82.030100 132.618862 235.606781 470.567203 1221.163422
2025-06-15 36.658348 53.861260 82.215659 136.978163 254.205508 542.598776 1596.404772
2025-06-22 33.803920 50.122693 77.398084 131.088233 249.260425 552.715957 1754.322441
2025-06-29 31.913669 47.838229 74.904278 129.424212 253.592779 590.090188 2070.545107
2025-07-06 30.056710 45.620068 72.587229 128.385892 260.716560 643.638861 2572.988845
2025-07-13 29.165833 45.003657 73.159971 133.571164 285.079593 766.665951 3760.873055
2025-07-20 28.773182 45.206338 75.261064 142.430341 322.134553 962.185799 6255.379475
2025-07-27 27.287029 43.318927 73.125503 141.358728 331.158417 1057.278557 8393.950637
2025-08-03 26.187406 42.043659 72.056136 142.603510 347.616127 1199.987964 12351.588212
2025-08-10 24.870238 40.265350 69.798536 140.625555 353.513186 1299.369777 16872.497740
2025-08-17 23.987184 39.234764 68.969445 142.071756 371.333811 1481.998416 27162.572391
2025-08-24 22.991407 37.918235 67.418647 141.438648 381.971323 1638.025050 42493.793241
2025-08-31 21.952574 36.450847 65.420463 139.347718 386.867568 1766.454384 64998.755740
2025-09-07 21.529924 36.150863 65.902399 144.007813 419.213110 2141.692704 171832.775051
2025-09-14 20.301705 34.190003 62.588378 137.712299 406.128913 2142.058758 225560.807943